移动通信网 程然
SpaceX 正在把 Starlink 的移动通信野心从太空拉回地面。据彭博社报道,该公司正与 Crown Castle 等美国铁塔基础设施企业洽谈,寻求获得多达 80,000 个移动站址的使用权,用于建设地面无线网络。这一站址规模已与 AT&T、T-Mobile、Verizon 三大运营商的网络体量相当。马斯克在本周的投资人电话会上重申,Starlink 将成为美国的“主流移动运营商”,并以卫星与地面混合组网的方式切入这一全球竞争最激烈的通信市场之一。
地面网络走常规路线,棋局之外有新棋子
尽管马斯克在 X 平台上坦言,“蜂窝行业的老兵看着现有棋盘上的棋子,找不到答案”,因为 SpaceX 正在开发“全新的棋子”,但从已披露的信息看,Starlink 的地面网络建设路径相当传统——租用第三方铁塔资源组网,而非另辟蹊径。Crown Castle CEO Christian Hillabrant 本周被问及是否已与 SpaceX 等卫星运营商展开谈判时回应称“正在与他们所有人接触”,并表示 SpaceX 的移动野心可能成为这家铁塔公司的“催化剂”。
频谱层面,Starlink 的筹码正在累积。FCC 已批准 SpaceX 部署最多 15,000 颗用于手机直连(D2D)业务的 V2 卫星,公司还从 Grain Management 手中收购 14MHz 的 800MHz 低频段频谱。SpaceX 总裁 Gwynne Shotwell 在电话会上表示,Starlink Mobile 将主要使用来自 EchoStar 交易获得的 S 频段频谱,低频段用于增强室内穿透覆盖,同时利用 Starlink 屋顶天线和“其他塔”作为基础设施补充。不过批评者指出,其频谱储备仍不足以与三大运营商抗衡。
【关键数据】
- 拟租赁站址数: 80,000 个(与三大运营商网络规模相当)
- FCC 批准卫星数: 最多 15,000 颗 V2 直连卫星,9 年内部署完成
- 低频频谱收购: 14MHz(800MHz 频段,来自 Grain Management)
- 星座规划: 约 100,000 颗在轨卫星,单星带宽达现役系统 10 倍以上
- 带宽预期: 3-5 年内需求增长 1000 倍,星座总带宽 3 年内增长 100 倍(关键增长引擎)
MVNO、收购还是自建:路径之争尚未定论
New Street Research 分析师 David Barden 在研究报告中指出,根据与 SpaceX 的沟通,公司仍希望与某家美国运营商达成 MVNO 协议,铁塔建设与虚拟运营“并不互斥”,但他质疑“目的何在”。TMF Associates 分析师 Tim Farrar 则给出了另一种推测:Starlink 的地面网络可能以收购 Dish 资产为起点,并将 Ergen 现有网络的站址租约一并纳入与铁塔公司的谈判之中。
在需求侧叙事上,马斯克和 Shotwell 均暗示 Starlink 连接的将不只是人类用户。Shotwell 表示,“汽车、机器人的连接以及超级智能的应用,将使通信需求不是按百分比增长,而是增长多个数量级”。马斯克进一步预测,未来三到五年内带宽需求将是今天的 1000 倍——每个 AI 智能体的带宽消耗远超一个人,而智能体的数量将超过人口。Starlink 星座预计在未来三年内实现当前 100 倍的带宽容量,这构成了他口中连接业务年收入 1000 亿美元愿景的技术基础。
从运营商伙伴到挑战者:威胁几何仍待验证
值得玩味的是马斯克态度的转变。2020 年 3 月的 Satellite 大会上,他曾明确表态:“Starlink 不会对电信运营商构成巨大威胁,我想说得非常清楚——它不是。”六年之后,SpaceX 已将传统运营商列为直接竞争对手。对于 AT&T、Verizon 和 T-Mobile 而言,一个手握巨型星座、低频频谱和八万站址规划的新玩家入场,显然不再是当年那个互补性的偏远地区宽带服务商。
不过,混合组网的具体形态、频谱短板如何弥补、MVNO 与自建网络如何协同,这些关键问题至今没有答案。Barden 坦言,作为铁塔板块的长期看好者,利好消息固然欢迎,“但在完全买账之前,我们仍希望先看到马斯克关于 SpaceX 移动战略的完整演示”。从行业视角看,这场天地一体的网络实验能否跑通商业模式,将直接影响未来十年美国乃至全球移动通信市场的竞争格局。
出处:Musk's mobile plan comes down to Earth with tower talk
英文原文Satellite
5G
Broadband
Regulatory & Politics
News
Musk's mobile plan comes down to Earth with tower talk
SpaceX is in talks with Crown Castle and other towercos to gain access to 80,000 mobile sites to build a terrestrial network, reports Bloomberg.
Michelle Donegan
,
Senior Editor, Light Reading
October 23, 2026
4 Min Read
(Source: US Space Force/Alamy Stock Photo)
SpaceX says Starlink is going to be a "major mobile carrier" in the US. It's still unclear how it's going to do that with a hybrid satellite/terrestrial network, or why it wants to, even after management fielded equity analysts' questions during this week's earnings call. Elon Musk admitted he needs to explain the plan and suggested it is not understood because it so different from any traditional network play.
"We definitely need to explain this in detail. Veterans of the cellular industry look at the chess board of existing pieces and don't see a solution. They don't understand that SpaceX is developing entirely new pieces that fundamentally alter the strategic landscape," Musk
posted on X
.
Speaking on the investor call, he said the company should hold a longer presentation about the Starlink "game plan" and why he thinks the connectivity business will be generating $100 billion in revenue per year, at some unspecified point. "You are missing some of the pieces that we know about internally," he said.
Related:
Musk, genius or lunatic, has no mobile answer in space or on land
Despite the cryptic messaging, Starlink's terrestrial mobile network looks to be taking a rather conventional approach.
SpaceX is reportedly in discussions with tower infrastructure companies in the US about getting access to 80,000 sites to build its terrestrial wireless network,
according to Bloomberg
. Such a footprint would be about the same size as the networks of AT&T, T-Mobile and Verizon.
The report namechecked Crown Castle as one of the towercos. Crown Castle CEO Christian Hillabrant said this week that the company was "talking to all of them" when asked whether discussions were already underway with SpaceX and other satellite players. He also said SpaceX's mobile ambitions could be a "catalyst" for the wireless infrastructure company.
According to a
research note
by New Street Research Analyst David Barden, SpaceX still says it still wants an MVNO deal with one of the US carriers, based on conversations with the company. A tower buildout and MVNO would not be "mutually exclusive," he noted, "but to what end?"
"As long-time fans of the tower sector, good news is always welcome, however we still would like to see Elon's presentation on SpaceX's mobile strategy before fully buying into the hype," he wrote.
Others speculate another route for Starlink's ground game would be to buy Dish's assets. Commenting on Bloomberg's report, TMF Associates analyst Tim Farrar
posted on X
: "Obviously the starting point will be the acquisition of Ergen's existing network, with those leases wrapped into the discussions with the tower companies."
Related:
FCC OKs SpaceX to deploy 15K D2D satellites, and nine years to complete it
AI agents will need more bandwidth
Starlink gained FCC approval to deploy up to 15,000 "V2" satellites for direct-to-device services and is acquiring 14MHz of lowband 800MHz band spectrum from Grain Management. Together, this puts the company on a path to becoming "major mobile carrier in the US," said Gwynne Shotwell, president of SpaceX, speaking on the earnings call on Tuesday.
Critics say SpaceX's spectrum holdings, including the lowband spectrum, are
not enough
to match the big three carriers.
Shotwell said Starlink Mobile will mostly use S-band spectrum (from the EchoStar spectrum acquisition) and the lowband spectrum would support that to "penetrate buildings" for indoor coverage, while leveraging Starlink rooftop dishes and "other towers" for infrastructure. She also said Starlink Broadband will be in the mix since "the vast majority of mobile connectivity is actually WiFi."
She and Musk both hinted that Starlink will be connecting more than humans.
"Connecting cars, robots, and the adoption of super intelligence will increase communication demands not in percentages but in many orders of magnitudes," she said.
Musk said demand for bandwidth in the next three to five years will be 1000-times higher than it is today.
Related:
SpaceX eyes full Starship recovery as Starlink subs miss estimates
"AI or SI agents will, on a per agent basis, use far more bandwidth than a person and there will be far more agents than there are people. So, this ends up requiring a several orders of magnitude increase in communication bandwidth in order to satisfy that communication demand," he said.
The Starlink constellation is expected to have 100-times the bandwidth that it does today "probably within the next three years," according to Musk.
SpaceX will put "on the order of" 100,000 satellites into orbit, "each of which have more than 10-times the bandwidth of the current Starlink system," he explained. "Revenue for Starlink will be at least somewhat proportionate to the total bandwidth delivered. We will also have high bandwidth direct-to-cell capability, and we will be building out our terrestrial networks so that there's broad-based connectivity anywhere in the world that SpaceX and Starlink are allowed to operate."
Musk changes his tune
Back in March 2020, Musk positioned Starlink's broadband service as a help to telcos to bring Internet service to hard-to-reach areas.
As Light Reading reported at the time
, he told the Satellite 2020 conference: "Starlink is not some huge threat to telcos. I want to be super clear: it is not."
That's all changed as the company now plans to take on the traditional US carriers. But the size of the threat is hard to scope without more details about the satellite/terrestrial network plan.
About the Author
Michelle Donegan
Senior Editor, Light Reading
Michelle Donegan covers all things 5G, 6G and mobile tech for Light Reading. She has been writing about the telecoms sector since the early 1990s.
Her first job was with Global Telephony magazine in Chicago, where she got an intro to publishing and tech reporting. After moving to the UK in 1999, she has covered telecoms tech, business and policy issues at publications including Communications Week International and Total Telecom. She was also part of Light Reading’s European editorial team from 2007 to 2013. Between stints at Light Reading, she was busy freelancing and was a regular contributor to Mobile Europe, Mobile World Live, TelcoTitans, TM Forum, and more.
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