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AI 伪造论文冲击同行评审:IEEE 学术出版遭遇“垃圾洪流”

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当社交媒体信息流中约一半内容已被辨识为机器生成的“AI 垃圾”(AI slop)时,科学出版界正在经历一场更为隐蔽的信任危机。一位应用数学博士最近进行的一项实验揭示了问题的严重程度:利用 AI 工具几乎无需任何人工干预,就能生成一篇“看起来像科学”的论文,并将其投递至 IEEE 的出版流程。这场围绕知识守门人展开的攻防战,正在重新定义学术界对“可信”二字的底线。

一键生成论文:出版防线的压力测试

自由撰稿人、应用数学博士 Benjamin Skuse 开展的这项实验,本质上是学术出版界的一次红队测试。他的操作流程简单到令人不安——在一个实验中,他“基本上就是按下了‘运行实验’和‘撰写论文’两个按钮,然后什么都没做,直接把它扔进了出版机器的入口”,IEEE Spectrum 特稿与 AI 编辑 Eliza Strickland 如此描述。生成出的论文在表面合理性上已经足够以假乱真,具备了标准学术论文的结构、引用和论证形式。

测试结果显示,IEEE 目前依赖的双重防线——人工评审流程与研究诚信检测程序——在应对免费 AI 工具生成的稿件时,尚能勉强跟上节奏,形成一场典型的猫鼠游戏。但真正的隐忧在于:更先进的大语言模型已经不再犯免费版本那些容易被识破的低级错误。出版商由此被卷入一场不断升级的军备竞赛,一边是越来越逼真的伪造内容,另一边是疲于奔命的检测系统。

【关键数据】

- AI 幻觉进入词典时间点: GPT-3 时代,距今约 6 年

- Skuse 实验操作量: 一键生成,零人工修改

- IEEE 检测防线: 人工评审 + 研究诚信检测程序

- 维基百科应对机制: WikiProject AI Cleanup 志愿者项目

维基百科:人少工具少的同一场战争

商业出版商并非孤军作战。作为全球人类生成知识的最大仓库,维基百科同样在与 AI 垃圾内容缠斗。WikiProject AI Cleanup 的创始成员 Ellia Lebleu 领导着一支志愿者团队,专门检测并删除平台上的 AI 生成内容。问题在于,这支队伍面对的是与商业出版商同等级别的挑战,却拥有更少的人手和更简陋的工具。“维基百科以人类生成信息的宝库著称,他们想守住这一点,”Strickland 评价道,“但没人知道还能守多久。”

这场危机的深层影响远超个别平台的声誉。如果科学记录的可信度和关于世界的基本事实都无法获得集体默认,人类对“真实”的理解将逐步解体为弥漫性的不确定。这种环境恰恰是某些投机者乐见的温床——在不存在共同现实的信息生态里,混淆与操纵的成本被大幅拉低。更根本的是,这种侵蚀最终会瓦解公众对那些本应守护人类知识体系、推动科技进步的机构本身的信任。

AI 写给 AI 看:人类会被踢出闭环吗

这场攻防战还引出一个更具哲学意味的推演:当 AI 既在从事科学研究又在撰写论文时,人类是否信任其产出或许已不再重要。Strickland 的判断直指要害——“想想看,将来某个时刻 AI 在为其他 AI 写作,这难道不疯狂吗?我们会被直接踢出这个闭环。”这并非危言耸听,而是当前技术轨迹的自然延伸。对科学共同体而言,真正的课题或许不是如何在检测端赢得军备竞赛,而是如何在人类逐步退出内容生产环节的过程中,重新构建一套不依赖传统信任链条的知识验证机制。


出处:Guarding the Gates of Knowledge

英文原文
A recent scroll through social media got me thinking about trust. About half my feed was filled with AI slop that astute users would call out as being machine-generated, often to the embarrassment of the rube who unknowingly spread it and sometimes to the delight of the poster who shared it deliberately because they found it amusing or useful for sowing confusion. Remember the good old days of GPT-3 when we could ask the chatbot anything and it would almost instantly and very confidently spit back a plausible but false answer? That’s when the word “hallucination” as applied to AI answers entered the lexicon. Six years and several versions of a few different chatbots later, I still can’t trust the answers I get, even though Claude or Gemini often do useful work for me. That’s the thing about current AI: Trust but verify. And verify you must. Apply that maxim at scale to maintain the integrity of the scientific record and you get an idea of the challenge facing publishers of peer-reviewed scholarship. In “ I Used AI to Fake a Scientific Paper ,” freelance writer and doctor of applied mathematics Benjamin Skuse tells the story of the human gatekeepers trying to beat back the rising tide of AI slop by attempting to get his own AI-generated papers past IEEE’s defenses. “He basically hit ‘run experiment’ and ‘write paper.’ And then he didn’t do a damn thing to it.” —Eliza Strickland As features and AI beat editor Eliza Strickland told me, Skuse was surprised at just how effortless it was to generate a paper that was more or less plausible and more or less science. For one of his experiments, “he basically hit ‘run experiment’ and ‘write paper,’” she said. “And then he didn’t do a damn thing to it. He just launched it into the maw of the publishing engine.” Skuse discovered that the combination of IEEE’s human-review processes and research-integrity checker programs are currently keeping pace in what amounts to a cat-and-mouse game against people using free tools. But the more advanced LLMs are no longer making the same dumb mistakes the free versions do. That leaves publishers locked in an arms race between increasingly plausible slop and the systems aimed at detecting it. Scholarly publishers aren’t the only ones trying to hold the line against slop. So is that global depository of human-generated knowledge, Wikipedia. For this month’s Five Questions , Strickland interviewed Ellia Lebleu, a founding member of WikiProject AI Cleanup , a volunteer effort to detect and delete AI-generated material from the platform. Lebleu’s team is confronting the same problem as commercial publishers, but with fewer people and fewer tools. “Wikipedia is known as a repository of human-generated information, and they want to hold on to that,” says Strickland. “Who knows how long they’ll be able to do that.” If we can’t collectively assume that the scientific record is trustworthy or that basic facts about the world are accurate, then our understanding of what is real unspools into uncertainty . Perhaps that delights quantum scientists and the grifters who thrive in an information environment where there is no shared reality. But that uncertainty ultimately undermines trust in the institutions that exist to curate the corpus of human knowledge and to promote the advancement of science and technology for the benefit of humanity. Or maybe in a world where AI is doing the science and writing the papers, it won’t matter whether or not humans trust the outputs. As Strickland put it, “Doesn’t it just feel crazy that we’ll have AI writing for other AIs at some point? We’ll just get left out of the loop.”
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